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   URI   Why Nigeria accepted GMOs
       
       
        bluGill wrote 23 hours 11 min ago:
        The real question is why anyone would not.
        
        Before you reply remember random mutation is common - normal in nature.
        what is the difference between a random mutation and one a scientist
        comes up with. So far the only one I've found is random mutation isn't
        studied for safety.
       
          MatekCopatek wrote 5 hours 56 min ago:
          From my perspective, this is a slightly naive opinion. I believe
          we're not fighting against GMOs because "mutations are bad". When
          activists point that out, it's because it's the easiest way to reach
          the general population and convince them to get behind the cause.
          
          The real reason, however, are the political and economical
          implications of GMOs. Sure, they say they'll use them to fight
          famine. But in reality, they'll just try to extract as much profit as
          they can, regardless of the interests of the people growing the
          plants and eating the food. We've seen farmers get sued (see Bowman v
          Monsanto) and other evil stuff like that.
       
            bluGill wrote 4 hours 14 min ago:
            Bowman v Monsanto deserved to be sued and lose in court.  By citing
            that case you prove you have not dug into the details and don't
            understand what you are talking about.
            
            I don't understand why you are fighting against GMO. Not all GMO is
            done by corporations. Golden rice for example was not done by a big
            corporation.
       
          like_any_other wrote 6 hours 43 min ago:
          Why not? First, the safety reason: random mutations (and selective
          breeding) are to genetic engineering as a pedestrian is to a 747 jet.
          The range of possibilities and the speed at which they can be
          realized is far greater with genetic engineering.
          
          But, supposing there are rigorous tests and only well understood,
          small alterations are permitted, there is the second reason:
          economics. E.g. what will a country do when a GMO seed company starts
          taking over farms?
          
          Like store-brand products in supermarkets, such company farms have a
          competitive advantage in that they can get seeds cheaper, so it could
          happen they slowly take over all farming. And even independent farms
          would be in the precarious position of depending on a small handful
          of global companies for their seeds. If they don't comply with the
          demands of these seed companies, they'd go out of business, unable to
          compete. Yes there are seed companies already, but the barrier to
          entry, degree of consolidation, and advantage gained by doing
          business with them, is less than when you need genetic engineering to
          stay in the race, so the risk of such sovereignty-wrecking monopolies
          is much greater with GM seeds.
          
          And third, the health reason (distinct from safety). When companies
          are allowed to engineer food as they want, we get Snickers bars and
          Coca Cola. Do we want to unleash these same corporate practices on
          plants themselves? Why do we believe business pressures will get us
          only things like drought-resistant and vitamin-enriched rice, and not
          some rice variant that sacrifices nutrients to increase yield or
          taste? Currently, the healthiest foods are those with the least
          corporate engineering. What reason is there to believe this will
          change with GMOs?
       
            bluGill wrote 5 hours 57 min ago:
            > The range of possibilities and the speed at which they can be
            realized is far greater with genetic engineering.
            
            This is 100% false. Random genetic change happens often across the
            billions of seeds planted every year.  GMO is a much much smaller
            amount of change that targets a very tiny section of DNA.
            
            > what will a country do when a GMO seed company starts taking over
            farms?
            
            That is unrelated to GMO. Seed companies existed for many decades
            before GMO. There is a reason they have not taken over: the
            economics of running a large farm do not pay - they still need
            employees at each farm to learn the field and make decision on what
            works - soil is not 100% uniform and often farmers plant different
            seeds in the same field (that is 4 different corn seeds depending
            on the soil- the low areas get a variety that handles wet
            conditions better, while the high areas need to handle drought. 
            Then there is the sand/clay mix...  And that is a very high level
            overview, you can get a phd in soil if you want details).  Someone
            needs to make decisions about what fertilizer to use.  Someone
            needs to take the risk of good/bad weather, tariffs, and all the
            other things farmers do. There is a lot of value to seed companies
            in not having to worry about that.
            
            > Like store-brand products in supermarkets, such company farms
            have a competitive advantage in that they can get seeds cheaper, so
            it could happen they slowly take over all farming.
            
            This is a competitive disadvantage.  A seed company doesn't make
            the best seed for all situations, so if they end up with a farm
            where their competitors seeds are better they are losing value
            putting their own seeds in their fields - seeds that they cannot
            then sell to a different field where they would do better. 
            Remember from above planting 4 different seeds in a field is not
            uncommon - 1 of those might be from a different company.
            
            > the health reason
            
            Has nothing to do with GMO.
       
              like_any_other wrote 5 hours 10 min ago:
              > This is 100% false. Random genetic change happens often across
              the billions of seeds planted every year.
              
              Yet in all the billions of mice born every year, not one was born
              luminescent [1]. Peddle your lies somewhere else.
              
              > There is a lot of value to seed companies in not having to
              worry about that.
              
              Yet many companies vertically integrate, and get a competitive
              edge. You think soil and weather diversity is an unassailable
              moat?
              
              > That is unrelated to GMO.
              
              I explicitly explained how it is related to GMO.
              
              > This is a competitive disadvantage. A seed company doesn't make
              the best seed for all situations
              
              Can still buy from other seed companies, same as any other
              farmer. But they get a discount on their own seeds, unlike other
              farmers.
              
              > Has nothing to do with GMO.
              
              I explained how GMO enables it.
              
   URI        [1]: https://news.stanford.edu/stories/2017/02/glowing-mice-s...
       
                bluGill wrote 4 hours 41 min ago:
                > Yet in all the billions of mice born every year, not one was
                born luminescent
                
                That is random chance.    There is no reason to think it won't
                happen next year.  A statistician can calculate the odds - but
                remember that the odds are the same for every other random
                mutation - yet many of them happen. (many many more will not)
       
          Symmetry wrote 23 hours 3 min ago:
          And before GMO essentially all modern strains were created by
          accelerating the mutation of plants via the application of x-rays.
       
          jackbravo wrote 23 hours 5 min ago:
          One common drawback of GM crops is the monopolistic nature of their
          seeds. They come with a license and a cost to use, you cannot save
          seeds and use them later. So it seems like a threat to the
          sovereignty of a Country.
          
          The article briefly mentions that initially some seeds are given with
          royalty free licenses, but for how long?
       
            bluGill wrote 21 hours 58 min ago:
            The patents are expiring. Many of the useful traits are no longer
            under patent.
            
            even ignoring that things the patents were easy for golden rice to
            license.
            
   URI      [1]: https://www.goldenrice.org/Content2-How/how9_IP.php
       
            gruez wrote 22 hours 59 min ago:
            1. as others have mentioned in a sibling thread, "saving seeds"
            isn't really a thing that can be done with modern crops, GMO or
            not.
            
            2. If you get a productivity boost from GMO, and but then GMO
            company goes rogue, can't you still go back to planting regular
            seeds?
       
              abdullahkhalids wrote 19 hours 51 min ago:
              Re 2: on this software engineering forum, the following example
              will help.
              
              If you have core dependency goes rogue, and you have to switch to
              an alternate library with similar features, is that a free
              switch? Think of how many thousands of hours of work are often
              needed? How many businesses have gone under because of such
              issues?
              
              Growing a particular variety requires a lot of knowledge gained
              by each individual farmer from experience. You can't just go back
              to an old variety for free. It may take several years for yields
              to go back to previous levels and by then the farmer may have
              gone under.
       
                bluGill wrote 19 hours 3 min ago:
                Farmers change seeds all the time. One I know tells me that a
                great variety will terrible in 3 more years, though I'm not
                clear why. In any case they all are planting several varities
                ever year - four different ones in a field isn't uncommon -
                with harvest data to track the difference (different soils need
                different seeds). Test plots where they do many different side
                by side are somewhat common. they are always trying different
                options to see what works to do more. Plus predictions on
                weather mean different seeds.
       
                gruez wrote 19 hours 3 min ago:
                Ok but going back to the library analogy, GMO bans are like the
                government banning react.js because they're convinced angularjs
                (or jquery) is good enough and facebook might go rogue.
                Shouldn't it be up to individual farmers to decide?
       
                  small_scombrus wrote 13 hours 10 min ago:
                  The difference I think, is that the libraries are open
                  source, and you don't have to pay Facebook yearly to use
                  React.
                  
                  Countries can and do ban closed source paid products when
                  they don't trust the provider (e.g. Huawei)
       
                    icpmoles wrote 12 hours 6 min ago:
                    When you buy hardware that goes rogue you're forced to
                    throw it away and install something new, which costs money
                    for hardware and labor.
                    
                    When a GMO goes rogue you can just buy a different seed the
                    next planting season, which you were going to do anyway.
       
        redwood wrote 1 day ago:
        I'm a believer in taking advantage of GM crops but also believe that
        some kind of regulation should be put in place to ensure that those
        crops yield seeds that can be used to plant future generations.
        
        If these crops are designed to require you to buy from a producing
        company each year, that just seems so fundamentally artificial and
        going against the grain of all of our agricultural history. And I can
        see how much of a slippery slope it can represent... ayou read about
        farmer suicides in India related to this topic. I bring this up because
        the fact that none of this is discussed in the article makes me fear
        it's got a profit agenda.
       
          Suppafly wrote 14 hours 19 min ago:
          >I'm a believer in taking advantage of GM crops but also believe that
          some kind of regulation should be put in place to ensure that those
          crops yield seeds that can be used to plant future generations.
          
          That's not a GMO issue, that's a hybrid issue that applies to pretty
          much all modern seeds. Unless you're specifically worried about
          so-called terminator seeds, a common boogeyman discussed by organic
          farming proponents, but those have never been on the market and there
          is basically a worldwide ban on them.
       
          coin wrote 15 hours 5 min ago:
          > read about farmer suicides in India related to this topic
          
          The data doesn’t support this claim
          
   URI    [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farmers%27_suicides_in_India#G...
       
          userbinator wrote 17 hours 24 min ago:
          "going against the grain" --- was that deliberate? ;-)
       
          imtringued wrote 17 hours 42 min ago:
          To this day nobody in the agritech industry touting expensive super
          seeds and synthetics has figured out how to sustainably sell their
          products to developing countries.
          
          Agriculture is the primary industry in most developing nations. The
          value proposition of agritech is "give us your money and we'll give
          you food". Meanwhile the people in developed countries need a way to
          turn what they already produce into money. The objectives are
          diametrically opposed.
          
          How exactly is an agricultural society that primarily produces crops
          to feed itself pay for the imported goods which were the source of
          their money in the past? What I'm trying to get at here is the fact
          that a domestic farmer has to export their crops to earn money for
          the imported inputs. You need more land to feed the same quantity of
          people, because only a portion of the land will be farmed for
          domestic consumption.
          
          The business model just fundamentally doesn't make much sense,
          because it makes the underlying assumption that these people are
          already busy doing more important things than farming that earn them
          enough money to buy seeds, so buying the more productive seeds means
          they are less busy farming and spend more time earning money.
       
          ch4s3 wrote 18 hours 45 min ago:
          I think having terminator genes in seeds is a reasonable safeguard
          against leaking lots of novel genes into the environment above and
          beyond what crops from across the planet already would leak. I think
          this is a benefit that people too quickly dismiss. Seed saving as
          others have pointed out is already increasingly rare for many crops.
       
          throwup238 wrote 19 hours 24 min ago:
          Most farmers don't save seed for replanting anymore even if they're
          non GMO, especially if they want to be economically competitive. The
          $50-150/acre that seeds cost are a small fraction of the benefit of
          using F1 hybrid seeds due to hybrid vigor - the plants they produce
          have a higher yield that more than makes up for it, on the order of
          15-50% higher depending on variety.
          
          The seeds they get from a manufacturer also mature more consistently
          and uniformly, they do a much better job of cleaning and protecting
          the seed (e.g. fungicide), and usually end up costing less than doing
          it yourself because of the labor involved in preparing the seed for
          storage.
       
            kouteiheika wrote 18 hours 23 min ago:
            If it's economically advantageous to buy the seeds anyway then why
            do the manufacturers legally prohibit the farmers to save the
            seeds? Wouldn't the farmers naturally pick the option that yields
            them the most profit?
       
              throwup238 wrote 11 hours 0 min ago:
              It allows them to maximize the value they extract from the whole
              enterprise and defend their competitive advantage. In short:
              greed and fear.
              
              The long answer is more complicated. For example corn, soybeans,
              and wheat aren’t generally planted as F1 hybrids so farmers can
              (and do) save seed so the manufacturers walk this tight rope
              between crops where it really matters and ones where they
              don’t, but have to defend their whole system regardless.
       
              contrarian1234 wrote 12 hours 16 min ago:
              Because that'd be unmanageable.. obviously a local "seed
              cleaning/prep" company (such at the one providing nonGMO seed)
              would just come around and undercut the company that developed
              the GMO seed. The farmers will just claim they're reusing their
              seed
       
          Broken_Hippo wrote 20 hours 22 min ago:
          Apple trees are weird. You can take a seed from an apple tree in your
          yard and grow apples that taste disgusting. One of the apples from
          that disgusting tree might make apples that taste absolutely
          heavenly. You can't just grow an apple tree from seed and expect
          anything other than an apple only fit for making alcohol. Johnny
          Appleseed was keeping folks drunk, not healthy.
          
          Hybrids sometimes produce no seeds or seeds that won't grow the same
          thing. Sometimes this is desirable - seedless watermelons, for
          example. Or having a plant that grows better in your region at the
          cost of having to buy seeds (which you were likely to do in modern
          times regardless).
          
          I get your point, but this isn't really a problem that's special to
          GMOs in particular. It is a problem now, and it isn't always that
          horrible of one. We can support farmers better now and prevent some
          of it now.
       
          Tuna-Fish wrote 21 hours 53 min ago:
          You do understand that your requirement effectively cuts out many
          modern non-GMO seeds?
          
          One of the big advancements in the turn of the 20th century was
          heterosis, or the systematic exploitation of hybrid vigor. If you
          maintain two (or more) extremely inbred but different from each other
          germlines, but cross them to produce seed, you get seed that is much
          more heterozygotic than is naturally common. This seed is then
          dramatically more viable and productive. But if you replant what it
          yields, you only get very disappointing yield.
          
          That is, it has been normal for farmers to buy new seed each season
          from some provider that specializes in making very productive seed
          for more than a hundred years now. Part of getting developing
          countries to raise their agricultural productivity to modern
          standards is getting them to start doing this, instead of
          continuously replanting their old seeds.
       
            redwood wrote 18 hours 19 min ago:
            Thanks for this. I did not know
       
              Suppafly wrote 14 hours 12 min ago:
              >Thanks for this. I did not know
              
              Honestly, you weren't even informed enough to make your initial
              comment if you didn't know that much.
       
          benced wrote 22 hours 15 min ago:
          I really dislike this logic because it centers the farmers, not the
          people who buy agricultural products (everybody).
       
          padjo wrote 23 hours 8 min ago:
          I’m fairly sure that farmers often buy seeds rather than harvesting
          them. There are lots of reasons for this but essentially growing
          seeds and growing produce is just quite different. I don’t think
          it’s the dramatic shift you’re making it out to be.
       
            dpe82 wrote 16 hours 21 min ago:
            My grandfather in the US Midwest in the 1950s farmed specifically
            to harvest seeds for planting which he then sold to his regional
            neighbors via distributors. I don't know the specifics, but I
            understand that even back then the farming practices were
            sufficiently different that the specialization was warranted.
       
            kevin_thibedeau wrote 23 hours 4 min ago:
            It depends on the crop. With cereals, the seed is the product, and
            you could divert a part of production to next year's planting. With
            other crops, harvest may happen before seeds mature and may require
            special processing to extract them for the seed producers.
       
              Suppafly wrote 14 hours 13 min ago:
              >With cereals, the seed is the product, and you could divert a
              part of production to next year's planting.
              
              Theoretically, but generally that doesn't happen because you want
              hybrid seeds that need to be grown every year to get the traits
              you want, you don't want to plant the seeds you harvested from
              the hybrid plants.
       
              bluGill wrote 21 hours 53 min ago:
              If you are planting hybrid seeds you would never save seeds
              because their children don't yield well. Hybrid yields so much
              better that it isn't worth planting anything else if you have the
              option.
       
          0x000xca0xfe wrote 23 hours 10 min ago:
          On the other hand fertile GMOs will sooner or later mix into the
          surrounding nature, compete with local plants and undergo "normal"
          evolution. This might be undesirable.
          
          Another consideration is that optimizing one or two features like
          yield or resistance in plants often affects other areas negatively
          like adaptability or fertiliy. Making fertile GMOs with the same
          yield is probably harder than making infertile ones.
          
          But at the very least it should not be possible to patent or
          copyright DNA or any other parts of living organisms, what an utterly
          horrible idea.
       
            pfdietz wrote 15 hours 36 min ago:
            In some cases this is desirable, like with the GMO American
            Chestnut with the transplanted wheat gene that makes it resistant
            to chestnut blight.
       
            adrr wrote 18 hours 10 min ago:
            Is natural breeding better with just randomly flipping genes with
            help of radiation or whatever they use to get a bunch of genes to
            flip?  At least with GMO, you know the outcomes of the DNA instead
            of rolling dice over and over.
            
            GMO is just more precision and regular breeding can do the same
            given enough time.  It’s just DNA code end of the day.
       
              0x000xca0xfe wrote 7 hours 58 min ago:
              Personally I think genetics and evolution are highly fascinating
              topics and we should do much more research.
              I'd love to have some glow-in-the-dark tobacco plants in my yard.
              Why not?!
              
              But realistically there is just too much irrational public
              resentment.
       
          cyberax wrote 23 hours 19 min ago:
          > I'm a believer in taking advantage of GM crops but also believe
          that some kind of regulation should be put in place to ensure that
          those crops yield seeds that can be used to plant future generations.
          
          This hasn't been that useful for quite a while. Most modern crops are
          hybrids that rapidly degrade if they are just replanted year after
          year.
       
          tick_tock_tick wrote 23 hours 43 min ago:
          > but also believe that some kind of regulation should be put in
          place to ensure that those crops yield seeds that can be used to
          plant future generations.
          
          Did you mistype? I think in general it should be 100% illegal with
          guaranteed jail time to to make any non sterile otherwise we are just
          going to create our own invasive species.
       
            bluGill wrote 21 hours 52 min ago:
            Farmers want sterile crops. last years seed in this years field is
            a weed that messes with your crop rotation plan without any
            upsides.
       
          kjkjadksj wrote 23 hours 54 min ago:
          From a practical standpoint that is difficult to do. E.g. many crops
          are hybrid species taking advantage of hybrid vigor (1). If the
          hybrid is fertile at all will be quite variable in phenotypes.
          
          1.
          
   URI    [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heterosis
       
          bootsmann wrote 1 day ago:
          I feel like this kind of discussion hinges on a misguided belief that
          farmers are not very smart businessmen. The idea that a farmer would
          abandon their current crop for GMO crop that they cannot replant
          without making a cost-benefit analysis in their head just strikes me
          as very odd. These peoples life depend on making such decisions, we
          should trust them to make them themselves.
       
            ZeroGravitas wrote 8 hours 53 min ago:
            Do any smart business people get locked into software ecosystems?
            
            People seem very focused on the science to the expense of the
            business side.
            
            Like it's possible to be pro-database but anti-Oracle. And if the
            Oracle guys called you anti-database it would be very transparent
            bullshit. Doubly so if they wrapped it in "databases are going to
            save the poor" rhetoric.
       
            lo_zamoyski wrote 18 hours 54 min ago:
            It's not just a question of intelligence or education, but also
            power.
            
            The free market does not always produce good outcomes, hence the
            need for regulation.
       
            RobotToaster wrote 19 hours 2 min ago:
            Many Indian farmers have been driven to suicide due to debt from
            buying GMO seeds
            
   URI      [1]: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1082559/The-GM-ge...
       
              coin wrote 15 hours 1 min ago:
              The data doesn’t support your claim
              
   URI        [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farmers%27_suicides_in_Ind...
       
                RobotToaster wrote 8 hours 32 min ago:
                > "A 2015 study in Environmental Sciences Europe found that
                farmer suicide rates in India's rainfed areas were "directly
                related to increases in Bt cotton adoption." Factors leading to
                suicide included "high costs of BT cotton" and "ecological
                disruption and crop loss after the introduction of Bt cotton.""
                
                The contradicting studies were mostly produced by
                "International Food Policy Research Institute, an agriculture
                policy think tank formed to promote the adoption of innovations
                in agricultural technology, based in Washington, D.C." which
                seems like an obvious conflict of interest.
       
                  pfdietz wrote 7 hours 16 min ago:
                  Isn't gray market Bt cotton widely used in India outside
                  patent protection?  (Or was, given patents likely expired by
                  now.)
       
              parineum wrote 18 hours 4 min ago:
              That's a story of a farmer in debt because he had two consecutive
              years of crop failure. I'd be less apt to blame the expected cost
              of seeds than the unexpected crop failures for his misfortune.
       
            nchmy wrote 19 hours 48 min ago:
            depends on which farmers youre talking about. In much of the world,
            they're smallholder subsistence farmers with little to no
            education, and are often at the mercy of middlemen who steal a
            significant proportion of their (meager, due to not much land that
            they dont really know how to take care of/take advantage of) crops'
            value.
       
            gnulinux996 wrote 19 hours 49 min ago:
            > I feel like this kind of discussion hinges on a misguided belief
            that farmers are not very smart businessmen.
            
            I feel like assuming that the farmers are competent businessmen
            capable of understanding the ups and downs of GMOs is in
            disagreement with reality and mostly used to drive "free
            marketeering / deregulation" agendas.
       
              georgefrowny wrote 3 hours 11 min ago:
              It's the same argument they make for why we don't need food
              safety rules. Intelligent and rational people will be able to
              work out that the cheap carcinogenic additive is bad and
              therefore won't buy it and the company will do better and it's
              just fine. Right? Right? If they don't they're probably too
              stupid and probably poor and only have themselves to blame. It's
              just business.
              
              Never mind that the the exact same kind of people are
              simultaneous lobbying for the elimination of (quote) "unjustified
              trade restrictions or commercial requirements, such as labeling,
              that affect new technologies, including biotechnology" ( [1] )
              
   URI        [1]: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/19/4201
       
            estimator7292 wrote 21 hours 21 min ago:
            The problem is that even with the seed rent-seeking, GMO crops are
            more productive and more profitable.
            
            The farmer still makes just enough money, with some corporate
            middleman skimming off the top for no good reason. It's not that
            the fees are untenable- obviously nobody will buy it if they can't
            make a profit. The problem is the corporate rent-seeking. Producers
            have to raise costs which percolates up into increased costs for
            consumers.
       
              pfdietz wrote 15 hours 39 min ago:
              Isn't this an argument against literally any technological
              advance?
       
              NoahZuniga wrote 20 hours 15 min ago:
              How are the food costs raising if GMO crops are more productive?
              Shouldn't this increase supply and lower prices?
       
                9rx wrote 12 hours 59 min ago:
                > How are the food costs raising if GMO crops are more
                productive?
                
                The farmer cries we've been hearing in the news over the last
                few months may be a little overblown, but they certainly aren't
                coming from a place where food costs are rising...
                
                > Shouldn't this increase supply and lower prices?
                
                Not necessarily. Prices are determined by supply _and demand_.
       
              onemoresoop wrote 21 hours 1 min ago:
              What would stop them from jacking up prices when they have
              monopoly? It's not like we haven't seen this scenario before..
       
            Waterluvian wrote 21 hours 33 min ago:
            I can’t think of a more complete “Jack of all trades” than
            the modern farmer.
       
            abdullahkhalids wrote 23 hours 17 min ago:
            In a multi-agent dynamic system, the optimal actions by each
            individual agents (based on whatever cost-benefit analysis they do)
            can evolve the system into a state where every agent is worse off
            compared to some initial state. This holds even if every individual
            agent is a "smart businessperson".
            
            One main purpose of law and social rules is to prevent multi-agent
            systems from getting stuck into these global non-optimal states.
            And arguing that agents are smart is not a counter-argument to
            this.
       
              reducesuffering wrote 22 hours 42 min ago:
              Moloch:
              
   URI        [1]: https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-mol...
       
              bootsmann wrote 23 hours 4 min ago:
              This is true in the abstract but I don’t see how it applies to
              this specific case. There are two agents here and the GMO plants
              will only be planted if planting them is the optimal choice for
              both.
       
                georgefrowny wrote 19 hours 56 min ago:
                If you are a farmer who has the choice of planting more
                productive plants or not, if you do not, you will be at a
                disadvantage and eventually will be outcompeted in the market
                if you don't "defect". Planting the GMO is the optimal choice
                if you want to survive in the short term, even if you can see
                disaster looming in the long term despite sweet supplier
                promises.
                
                Once everyone is using the proprietary seeds, the price
                magically goes up and the farmers have less money than they had
                before, but the biotech company now gets a cut of every grain
                of wheat which has to increase year on year (growth!). This
                isn't the only negative outcome you could imagine.
                
                A classic multipolar trap for the farmers because they all made
                an entirely rational decision at every stage and yet they all
                ended up worse off in the end. And a trap agrotech will be
                extremely happy to coax farmers into.
                
                For their part, if they don't do it, a less scrupulous company
                would and so they need to do it or get outcompeted - not only
                must they grow, they just grow faster than the competition to
                survive long term. And so they are also a trap of their own
                where they could end up in a strongly negative situation (angry
                mobs after their blood, say) despite making what was both an
                optimal and necessary decision at every step.
                
                Which is not to say you can't or even shouldn't use biotech to
                increase crop yield. It's just that you can't rely on people
                making rational choices for themselves to produce long-term
                overall good outcomes.
       
                  contrarian1234 wrote 12 hours 21 min ago:
                  > Once everyone is using the proprietary seeds, the price
                  magically goes up and the farmers have less money than they
                  had before, but the biotech company now gets a cut of every
                  grain of wheat which has to increase year on year (growth!).
                  This isn't the only negative outcome you could imagine.
                  
                  How does that make any sense? They can always switch back to
                  the non-GMO crops. Short of original seed somehow
                  disappearing.. it seems the farmer can make the decision to
                  switch back at any time. The GMO company has no mote to
                  coerce people to keep using their product. They only use it
                  as long as it provides higher profits.
                  
                  You'd have to get very create to imagine scenarios where this
                  breaks down. Like the local climate changes and the original
                  seed is no longer viable, and they have a ton of agricultural
                  equipment for this one particular crop type.
                  
                  This also has the premise that the farmers are somehow stupid
                  and don't realize seed prices can change year to year
       
                    bilegeek wrote 11 hours 58 min ago:
                    >> If you are a farmer who has the choice of planting more
                    productive plants or not, if you do not, you will be at a
                    disadvantage and eventually will be outcompeted in the
                    market if you don't "defect".
                    
                    More productive crops = more competitive = higher chance of
                    market survival.
                    
                    It's not about the crops per se. It's about surviving in a
                    market that is ruthlessly cruel to anybody who doesn't
                    subscribe to "line go up" dogma, and who isn't cutthroat in
                    every advantage they can eke out or margin they can widen.
       
                      contrarian1234 wrote 11 hours 3 min ago:
                      i dont understand what the dogma is... yes, it may become
                      economically infeasable to grow nonGMO plants. What's the
                      problem?
                      
                      if the seed price is increased then either it will become
                      feasible again, or the price of the crop will increase
                      
                      but this is just extremely basic capitalist market
                      forces... has no relation to GMO. The end result is
                      cheaper food for everyone
       
                        Ancapistani wrote 3 hours 4 min ago:
                        My immediate concern is the loss of overall
                        biodiversity and specific genetic lines.
                        
                        I'm not a large-scale farmer, but I've spent more than
                        my share of hours in the cab of a tractor. It's already
                        very difficult to find seeds for "heritage varieties"
                        of many crops.
                        
                        For example - for the past several years, I've grown a
                        small patch of "Little Dutch". It's a tobacco variety
                        that was popular in the 19th Century, but fell out of
                        favor. To my knowledge it is not currently grown
                        commercially at all. The only reason there are seeds
                        available is because someone collected it from a farm
                        in Ohio at some point.
                        
                        In this example, seeds can be ordered without too much
                        hassle... but there are relatively few vendors selling
                        them, and I'd say it's still at moderate risk of being
                        lost. There's a small but active hobby community around
                        growing esoteric tobacco varieties, but that's not the
                        case for most food crops. I wouldn't even know where to
                        begin to even determine what varieties were grown in my
                        area fifty years ago, much less where to obtain seeds.
                        
                        In fact, this conversation has prompted me to go
                        acquire some sorghum from someone I know that has been
                        planting a couple of acres and processing it themselves
                        for at least the past 50 years. They're getting older,
                        their kids aren't interested in agriculture, and I
                        seriously doubt they could even tell me what variety
                        they're growing. It wouldn't surprise me if they've not
                        purchased seed in generations. When they pass, that
                        line will likely be gone forever if someone doesn't
                        intentionally preserve it.
       
                  DSMan195276 wrote 12 hours 58 min ago:
                  What prevents a farmer from simply switching back to the
                  non-GMO seeds if the GMO option goes up in price? Or even
                  ignoring that, switching to a different cheaper GMO seed from
                  a different company?
                  
                  I think that's the piece I and others are missing, isn't it
                  ultimately a question of which seeds will make the farmer the
                  most money? If a particular GMO seed suddenly become so
                  expensive that either non-GMO or other GMO seeds are more
                  cost-effective, why can't they just start using them instead?
       
                    sam-cop-vimes wrote 11 hours 15 min ago:
                    Not really - if the market price for a crop is such that it
                    depends on the greater volume which can be produced by GMO
                    seeds, switching to non-GMO seeds becomes uneconomic.
                    
                    Let's say GMO crops gives you a grain yield of 1-ton/acre
                    and that non-GMO crops gives you a yield of 0.5-ton/acre.
                    Now the market price is say set at $100/ton. This cuts down
                    their earnings by half in the best case, all other inputs
                    remaining the same.
                    
                    Now if the GMO-seeds are controlled by a foreign entity,
                    your entire agri output becomes dependent on that foreign
                    entity not behaving badly. Whichever nation that controls
                    the entity who owns the GMO-seed now has leverage over you.
                    
                    So no, it isn't as simple as "switch back to using non-GMO
                    seeds". This has to be carefully considered before adopting
                    GMO-seeds.
       
                  refurb wrote 16 hours 51 min ago:
                  It's just that you can't rely on people making rational
                  choices for themselves to produce long-term overall good
                  outcomes.
                  
                  Yet most of the world relies on such a system and it’s
                  produced the highest advancement of any system.
                  
                  The tale you weaved is clearly an edge case of a monopoly. 
                  That’s not the situation we have.
                  
                  And you’re ignoring the fact that farmers will be aware
                  that they are purchasing from a monopoly and that can help
                  weight their decision.
       
                    geysersam wrote 16 hours 30 min ago:
                    > Yet most of the world relies on such a system and it’s
                    produced the highest advancement of any system.
                    
                    Nah this is a simplification at best. Countries have
                    regulation and laws, none rely only on free markets. GMO is
                    great but it needs governance
       
                      pfdietz wrote 7 hours 27 min ago:
                      Why does GMO need governance, vs. (say) hybrid non-GMO
                      seeds?
                      
                      All these arguments smack of badly functioning
                      rationalizations for basically irrational prejudice
                      against GMOs.
       
                        georgefrowny wrote 3 hours 36 min ago:
                        Food security in general does need governance and this
                        does includes vulnerability to price fixing of non-GMO
                        seeds and agricultural chemicals as well as safety.
                        
                        It also includes vigilance against such things as
                        agricultural equipment with expensive repair lockouts,
                        antibiotic overuse, soil degradation, deforestation and
                        poor disease control.
                        
                        The original assertion was that rational
                        self-interested agents would naturally find and migrate
                        to optimum global outcomes for everyone. Not only is
                        this not true in the abstract game theoretic sense, but
                        it's especially not true when many of the agents are
                        independent developing world smallholders and some are
                        multibillion agritech transnationals.
       
                          pfdietz wrote 2 hours 52 min ago:
                          So it has nothing to do with GMOs specifically.
       
                            georgefrowny wrote 1 hour 45 min ago:
                            Correct. It's continuing the general observation
                            first made here ( [1] ) that doesn't specifically
                            mention GMO at all and a disagreement with the
                            premise of the reply to that here ( [2] ).
                            
                            Obviously the argument is using GMO as the subject
                            due to the context of the article, but you can have
                            the exact same argument about powerful companies
                            angling for capture of slices of many industries
                            and even parts of the general human experience in
                            many places where you can say "well if it wasn't
                            going to be good for the farmers/taxi
                            drivers/warehouse workers/software engineers/people
                            looking for a date/restaurant chefs/whoever,
                            they're not stupid and wouldn't agree to it".
                            
   URI                      [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45725...
   URI                      [2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45725...
       
                abdullahkhalids wrote 20 hours 0 min ago:
                The agents are numerous, as pointed out by sibling comment.
                
                The farmer agents only make decisions based on personal
                profitability. The overall system after some years can evolve
                to a state where some of the following are true:
                
                - the GMO seed maker acquires a monopoly over certain types of
                seeds, which enables it to reduce farmer profits to below what
                they were when they were planting non-GMO seeds.
                
                - the country's food supply becomes dependent on foreign
                countries/corporations, which can cause severe problems at
                international negotiating tables.
                
                - the GMO crop has long term health impacts, say after 20 years
                of use. When these are discovered, it is no longer possible to
                go back to non-GMO because the infrastructure required for
                non-GMO crops is not easily reconstructable (for instance a
                country might reduce its pesticide production significantly
                once enough farmers have switched to GMO). Similarly, farmers
                have living knowledge about how to grow certain crop varieties
                learned by long experience. non-GMO and GMO varieties require
                different techniques, and non-GMO techniques may be forgotten,
                making it infeasible to switch back to non-GMO.
                
                Decisions to prevent these outcomes can only occur at the
                government/regulatory level, and may possibly be "GMO are
                banned".
       
                swiftcoder wrote 21 hours 55 min ago:
                I don't think you can arbitrarily leave out all the other
                parties in the agricultural system: the bank, who the farmer
                may need to borrow from to buy seed, the politicians, who may
                or may not accept money from the companies producing GMO seeds
                to produce favourable legislation, the public, who may vote
                with their wallets when purchasing the resulting crops, and so
                on...
       
              TimTheTinker wrote 23 hours 9 min ago:
              Great point.
              
              As an extreme example, I'd add -- in some cases, because of
              market conditions (and perhaps the legal climate as well), within
              a given financial year a farmer may be forced to choose between
              purchasing GMO seeds and having to sell the farm, especially if
              the farm already used licensed GMO seeds in a prior year.
              
              But as you pointed out, without legal and regulatory guardrails,
              the system at large can become badly suboptimal long before
              compromise-or-die dichotomies arise.
       
            thinkingtoilet wrote 23 hours 58 min ago:
            Are they? Farmers in the US just went a full month without selling
            a single soy bean to China. The last time it happened was seven
            years ago. Guess who was president both times it happened. Guess
            who farmers overwhelmingly voted for? They regularly vote against
            their own business interests. Perhaps farmers in Nigeria are better
            educated.
       
              rpdillon wrote 22 hours 9 min ago:
              I think farmers know about the trade war that Trump will create,
              but they also think he will do other things to help them. [1] I
              was also curious about this, so I ended up watching a documentary
              a local politician made where she interviewed local farmers
              trying to figure out why they would vote against their own best
              interests, and the short answer was, net, they thought additional
              bailouts + deregulation of farming would outweigh the potential
              trade war.
              
   URI        [1]: https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2025/10/02...
       
                thinkingtoilet wrote 20 hours 34 min ago:
                They do not.
       
                  JumpCrisscross wrote 7 hours 13 min ago:
                  Wyoming here. The farmers and ranchers are 100% convinced
                  they’ll be bailed out.
                  
                  And honestly? They probably will. ICE basically stopped
                  enforcing around here because the farmers threw a hissy fit.
       
                    thinkingtoilet wrote 5 hours 35 min ago:
                    Of course they will, but losing your long term market for a
                    short term bailout shows they don't understand the actual
                    business ramifications of what they voted for. Great. You
                    get a bail out. What's the long term plan when China keeps
                    buying soybeans from other countries?
       
              mrguyorama wrote 22 hours 53 min ago:
              The entire reason almost every modern country massively
              subsidizes and manages the staple food crops of their
              agricultural economy is that letting them rationally act in their
              best interests kept causing famines when farmers did dumb things,
              like cause the dust bowl.
              
              Central management of food supplies has been an essential part of
              societal stability since ancient times, and the USSR using
              "industrialization" and "centralization" of farming as an excuse
              to kill a bunch of "kulaks" does not undo that.
       
            sdeframond wrote 1 day ago:
            Many businesses are not thinking long term. Farming businesses are
            businesses too, and may prefer short term profitability over long
            term sustainability.
            
            See for example the depletion of the Ogallala aquifer, which is at
            the same time an existential threat to to farming and caused by
            farming.
            
   URI      [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ogallala_Aquifer
       
              bootsmann wrote 23 hours 58 min ago:
              This is a tragedy of the commons and not comparable to a singular
              farmer making a singular decision about what to plant on his
              field.
       
                michaelt wrote 21 hours 57 min ago:
                Imagine if hypothetically a supplier offered very competitive -
                maybe even loss-making - prices when they had 25% of the
                market; then once they had 90% of the market and most of their
                competitors had gone out of business, they planned to raise
                prices substantially, make back the loss, and produce a big
                profit.
                
                Isn't each customer's decision to buy (or not buy) from the
                loss-making supplier a tragedy-of-the-commons situation?
       
                  parineum wrote 18 hours 7 min ago:
                  Imagine if Monsanto just murdered every farmer that didn't
                  use their seeds.
                  
                  Both are equally legal.
       
                  bethekidyouwant wrote 19 hours 28 min ago:
                  Once mosanto has 90% of the market and they jack up  their
                  prices. Farmers can go back to growing non-GMO seeds and not
                  using round up to weed.
       
                    pfdietz wrote 7 hours 20 min ago:
                    Another hilarious thing about the argument is that Roundup,
                    and also the gene package involved in Roundup Ready plants,
                    are now in the public domain.  The patents are expired.
                    
                    There's nothing preventing a country from just ignoring
                    patents, too.  That pretty much happened in India with Bt
                    cotton, engineered to express an insecticidal protein. 
                    Gray market seeds with the trait became widely available
                    there and the foreign patent holders judged it not
                    worthwhile to try to prosecute.  This was all very good
                    news for Indian cotton farmers, especially considering the
                    personal cost to them of exposure to the pesticides they'd
                    otherwise have to have used.
       
                  mothballed wrote 21 hours 21 min ago:
                  I struggle for an example of that actually working.  If it
                  does it must be exceedingly rare.  I can think of lots of
                  example of having 25% of the market and then getting closer
                  to the majority by cutting prices, but the part where they
                  jack them back up usually doesn't work.  For instance,
                  Rockefeller did that to put his competition out of business,
                  but then the price of Kerosene just kept going down.
                  
                  The times where it actually worked (railroad) was because the
                  people doing it convinced the government afterwards to
                  "protect the market" (interstate commerce act) and created a
                  violence enforced cartel that prohibited by law rebates and
                  other methods by which cartels (and pre-ICA railroad cartels)
                  commonly fall apart.
       
            trenchpilgrim wrote 1 day ago:
            If your neighbor planted a GMO crop in their field, and then
            sprayed them with the compatible chemicals, two things might
            happen:
            
            1. The chemicals are carried by the wind onto your crop field,
            killing your non-GMO crops
            
            2. The seeds from the GMO crop spread into your field, and
            corporate hired goons show up at your door threatening you with a
            lawsuit. Or maybe if your neighbor doesn't like you, they spread
            some GMO seed in your field, then report you to the company.
            
            This led to neighbor versus neighbor conflicts in ag communities,
            in some cases turning violent.
            
   URI      [1]: https://youtu.be/CxVXvFOPIyQ?t=1567
       
              tptacek wrote 22 hours 0 min ago:
              This (2) case is, I think, mostly (maybe entirely) false. In
              every case I've read where this was claimed, the actual fact
              pattern was that the "victim" farmer wound up with unlicensed
              herbicide/pesticide-resistant crops that they then sprayed with
              herbicide or pesticide. If you plant unlicensed Roundup-Ready
              seeds and then spray the crop with Roundup, you know what you
              were doing.
       
                Ancapistani wrote 3 hours 2 min ago:
                > If you plant unlicensed Roundup-Ready seeds and then spray
                the crop with Roundup, you know what you were doing.
                
                ... or you're trying to exterminate an errant plant, only to
                end up with it being the only thing remaining in the field.
       
                  tptacek wrote 1 hour 32 min ago:
                  That's a thing that can happen, but there's no evidence that
                  anybody has been sued for it. The cases where people have
                  been sued, the record is pretty extensive that they knowingly
                  used the whole system, not just the seeds.
       
              gruez wrote 22 hours 38 min ago:
              >1. The chemicals are carried by the wind onto your crop field,
              killing your non-GMO crops
              
              That sounds like it should be handled by tort law rather than GMO
              laws. Even without GMOs you'll have issues like this, for
              instance conventional fields polluting organic fields, or
              herbicides that work for one type of plant but not another.
       
              cyberax wrote 23 hours 12 min ago:
              > 1. The chemicals are carried by the wind onto your crop field,
              killing your non-GMO crops
              
              Have you ever been on a farm?
              
              > 2. The seeds from the GMO crop spread into your field, and
              corporate hired goons show up at your door threatening you with a
              lawsuit.
              
              Sorry, but this video is just pure post-truth bullshit. I
              unsubscribed from Veritassium because of this video, and I was a
              paying Patreon subscriber.
              
              Monsanto has NEVER sued anyone for accidental contamination.
              Moreover, they will buy out your contaminated crops at
              higher-than-market prices.
              
              They sued farmers that specifically and intentionally, over
              several years, bred resistant crops by using GMO genes from
              neighboring fields or by replanting the previous years' crop.
              
              > This led to neighbor versus neighbor conflicts in ag
              communities, in some cases turning violent.
              
              Can you cite any examples? Go on, fire up Kagi and search.
       
                pfdietz wrote 20 hours 8 min ago:
                Monsanto Derangement Syndrome got Veritasium?    Geez...
       
              bluGill wrote 23 hours 15 min ago:
              1 - farmers watch the wind and won't spray when drift is an
              issue. the epa requires this in the us and they look at drift
              before approving spray
              
              2 - this has only happened when someone sprays their crop thus
              killing anything that isn't gmo and bringing the patents into the
              field. if you don't take advantage of the trait the corporate
              people don't care.
              
              though many of the more useful traits are off patent now and so
              they won't care anyway
       
                Y-bar wrote 22 hours 57 min ago:
                > farmers watch the wind and won't spray when drift is an issue
                
                Do they really? Never seem my neighbours being particularly
                picky about wind conditions.
                
                > the epa requires this in the us and they look at drift before
                approving spray
                
                Putting aside the current grave gutting of the agency in
                question, do they really inspect each usage on a regular basis
                or is it a pinky promise?
                
                > this has only happened when someone sprays their crop thus
                killing anything that isn't gmo
                
                That's a primary problem which is already happening as linked
                previously in the discussion, it essentially forces a
                mono-supplier and a mono-culture.
       
                  Suppafly wrote 14 hours 16 min ago:
                  >Do they really? Never seem my neighbours being particularly
                  picky about wind conditions.
                  
                  You really think they don't consider how to effectively apply
                  the expensive chemicals that increase their profits by a ton?
       
                    Y-bar wrote 2 hours 8 min ago:
                    You made me looking back at historical wind patterns in my
                    county and last year they sprayed it was 12m/s SSW
                    (Beaufort 6) the day I remember they sprayed.
       
                  MostlyStable wrote 20 hours 8 min ago:
                  We have a small-ish farm in Oregon. We religiously watch the
                  wind before spraying for two reasons:
                  
                  1) Chemicals are extremely expensive and chemicals that drift
                  off the field are wasted, not to mention that in high winds
                  you can't be confident in good coverage (unless you just
                  dramatically increase your spray amount, which, see again re:
                  cost).    
                  2) Despite our extreme care, we have had regulatory bodies
                  called on us by neighbours about drift (investigation
                  exonerated us).
                  
                  Thus we have both an internal, selfish reason to not spray
                  during high wands and an external reason to not spray during
                  high winds. I can't speak to other areas of the country (let
                  alone the world) or other kinds of farming.
       
                  pfdietz wrote 20 hours 10 min ago:
                  It doesn't force a mono-supplier, since existing seeds are
                  not suddenly made unavailable when new seeds are brought to
                  market.
       
                    Y-bar wrote 2 hours 10 min ago:
                    It has on multiple occasions as linked elsewhere in this
                    discussion, made usage of anything other than a specific
                    vendor's strain unusable. That is a textbook type 1.B.
                    mono-supplier condition.
       
                      pfdietz wrote 2 hours 3 min ago:
                      Yeah, I call bullshit on that claim.  The only way
                      something like this could become required would be if
                      it's so much more performant that farmers would have no
                      choice.  But that would mean it's creating so much extra
                      value the farmers still come out ahead.  How is this a
                      bad thing?  In no scenario is it possible for the
                      introduction of a new variety to force farmers to make a
                      decision that leaves them worse off than some other
                      decision they could make.
       
              lm28469 wrote 1 day ago:
              Point 1 isn't a "might happen", it's a "will happen"
       
              bootsmann wrote 1 day ago:
              Valid points but this seems more simple to address using
              regulation rather than removing the seed patents (which are
              essential to some degree to make this whole process worthwhile
              for manufacturers). The argument is that without seed patents
              most of the genuine advancements would not be worth pursuing.
       
                8note wrote 23 hours 32 min ago:
                this is still based on the idea that farmers are bad
                businessmen, and couldnt find the seed innovation because it
                would result in better crops.
                
                if the advancement is genuinely worthwhile, farmers are going
                to make it happen
       
                  bootsmann wrote 23 hours 1 min ago:
                  The whole point of the G in GMO is that you don’t get these
                  plants by the usual technique of selecting good strains
                  produced by natural gene variance.
       
                trenchpilgrim wrote 1 day ago:
                What regulation would you propose to fix either of these
                issues?
                
                Case 2 I suspect could be addressed by a law granting some
                level of immunity for simply having GMO plants in a field. But
                how do you fix Case 1 with laws? These are effects of biology
                and physics.
       
                  Veserv wrote 23 hours 15 min ago:
                  Monsanto has already made legally binding declarations that
                  they will never sue for "simply having GMO plants in a field"
                  or "accidentally growing trace amounts of patented crops"
                  which have been affirmatively held as legally binding [1].
                  
                  The cases you are referencing are cases where the farmer
                  discovers trace contamination of their field, then
                  deliberately sprays Roundup to kill all non-GMO crops, then
                  deliberately harvest seed from the survivors, then
                  deliberately create a GMO section of their farm where they
                  repeatedly plant and harvest to concentrate seed production
                  until they have multiple thousands of acres of GMO crops they
                  derived from the trace contamination [2].
                  
                  Or cases where they signed a agreement to not replant their
                  GMO soybeans, so they sold those GMO soybeans to a facility
                  which sells to consumers for consumption, then turned around
                  and rebought from that same facility the GMO soybeans they
                  just sold so they could replant them [3] claiming that the
                  sale to a third party meant they were not "replanting" the
                  soybeans they just produced since they just oopsie-whoopsie
                  bought them from someone not bound by the agreement.
                  
                  If you actually look into it, most of the cases that people
                  imagine were really bad or evidence of Monsanto screwing
                  farmers are actually examples of ridiculously slimy farmers.
                  That is not to say that Monsanto is a saint as they almost
                  surely are hiding evidence of Roundup toxicity and you should
                  be generally distrusting that large corporations are
                  value-aligned with regular people, but specifically in the
                  cases of Monsanto versus farmers, the farmers are almost
                  always hiding how absolutely slimy they are actually being.
                  [1] [2] [3] .
                  
   URI            [1]: https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2013/06/12/1909...
   URI            [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monsanto_Canada_Inc_v_...
   URI            [3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bowman_v._Monsanto_Co
       
                    RobotToaster wrote 19 hours 8 min ago:
                    The idea that a farmer can ever be sued for saving seeds is
                    horrific, no matter what corporate pr speak you dress it up
                    in
       
                      linkregister wrote 18 hours 8 min ago:
                      Why is that horrific? Is it because some farmers are
                      smaller operations and have less bargaining power? What
                      about a large farming conglomerate, e.g. Cargill? What in
                      particular is bad about this contract, and makes it
                      different from other contracts?
                      
                      Is it horrific to be sued for modifying and selling
                      software with a removed GPLv3 notice?
       
                  bootsmann wrote 23 hours 55 min ago:
                  If a factory pours poison into a farmers water source they
                  can already sue, I cannot imagine it would be significantly
                  harder to enable similar regulation for fertilizers and
                  pesticides.
       
                    LunaSea wrote 23 hours 26 min ago:
                    Yes, that very famously worked for PFAS poisoned waters by
                    DuPont in the US.
                    
                    It's still ongoing and we're 24 years later.
       
                    trenchpilgrim wrote 23 hours 45 min ago:
                    The legal costs would bankrupt most non-corporate farms.
                    (In fact that's what happened - as explained in the link in
                    that comment, many farmers had to settle even if they
                    believed themselves innocent.)
                    
                    A lawsuit is rarely a good remedy to a problem, between
                    legal costs, the time delay to any rewards, and the
                    overloaded court system strongly encouraging people to
                    settle out of court.
       
        abdullahkhalids wrote 1 day ago:
        From the TFA
        
        > In general, a higher democracy index correlates with greater GM
        acceptance, although large differences exist between individual
        nations.5 South America contains both pro-GM and GM-skeptical nations.
        When comparing the two using the Democracy Index, however, the pro-GM
        countries have a consistently higher Democracy Index (6.8) than those
        that ban GM (4.4). Similarly, the mean Democracy Index for Sub-Saharan
        African countries that cultivate or are currently legislating towards
        GM crop cultivation (4.7) is higher than those that ban it (3.5).
        
        > This suggests that fostering democratic accountability is not simply
        a political good in itself, but also a precursor for enabling
        science-based agriculture. For countries looking to promote GM, the
        priority may not be exporting “democracy” wholesale, but supporting
        governments in building credibility, transparency, and public trust —
        the very conditions under which new technologies can take root.
        
        This makes this piece sound like a political propaganda post. There is
        no concrete causal mechanism posited here, just vague assertions. Two
        seconds of thought would reveal that all non-democratic countries have
        adopted technologies of all sorts. And people in those countries use
        technologies extensively in daily life.
        
        I would assume it is easier for corporations to spread bribes around in
        a decentralized decision making system like representative democracy,
        than it is in centralized authoritarian systems.
       
          margalabargala wrote 18 hours 58 min ago:
          > I would assume it is easier for corporations to spread bribes
          around in a decentralized decision making system like representative
          democracy, than it is in centralized authoritarian systems.
          
          I would assume the opposite. The more authoritarian the country, the
          fewer people who need to be bribed to get what you want, generally
          speaking (placing things like lobbying under the umbrella of bribes).
       
          arandr0x wrote 22 hours 7 min ago:
          Is there not a confounding factor at play that a more functional
          government would facilitate both more democracy and more legislation
          on newer technology? Is this notion that "it might be nice to help
          your target market have a generally working government to facilitate
          them being willing to divert money towards non-corruption goals and
          able to protect your market with laws" really that new?
          
          (Here the model would be that democracy is something that countries
          develop once they have some OK government systems, not that democracy
          in itself makes those systems better, but it works with the causation
          the other way too)
       
          hollerith wrote 1 day ago:
          I agree: at first glance it is a very flimsy argument -- made by an
          organization whose entire purpose seems to be to advocate for what
          they consider to be technological progress specifically in the
          biological domain.
       
            kranke155 wrote 1 day ago:
            GMOs allowed for the huge expansion on the use of pesticides in
            America, since the crops are "pesticide ready".
       
              parineum wrote 17 hours 58 min ago:
              What do you think farmers were doing before GM crops?
       
              Symmetry wrote 23 hours 2 min ago:
              They've allowed for a huge expansion of the use of herbicide but
              drastically reduced the use of insecticide.  I'd much rather have
              the former than the later.
       
        dzonga wrote 1 day ago:
        maybe we need to ask why was Nigeria in a place to accept GMOs being
        pushed by the Gates Foundation ?
        
        what are the conditions that led to that outcome ?
       
          trallnag wrote 20 hours 10 min ago:
          Because GMOs are superior
       
            pidgeon_lover wrote 5 hours 14 min ago:
            No, GMOs are hazardous and inferior
       
        xchip wrote 1 day ago:
        Because they are poor and you can easily bribe the politicians
       
          ryoshoe wrote 1 day ago:
          Regardless of potential bribes to politicians, its easy to look at
          the increased yields from GMO foods as a benefit for a country where
          ~20% of the population are undernourished
          
   URI    [1]: https://www.globalhungerindex.org/nigeria.html
       
            imtringued wrote 17 hours 30 min ago:
            You're making the fallacy that these people can afford greater
            quantities of more expensive food.
       
            darth_avocado wrote 23 hours 59 min ago:
            It is an artificial dichotomy tbh. When you say GMO foods, you
            usually refer to foods that have been introduced to populations
            across the globe in environments they are not suitable to be grown
            in. Yes GMO rice will probably grow better and feed more people in
            drought prone regions of India, but so would the  indigenous
            millets that were replaced by rice. They require less water (and
            fertilizers and pesticides that GMOs require), are more resilient
            to climate events and more suitable to local climate. Not saying
            GMO foods are A solution, just that they aren’t the ONLY solution
            if the goal was to feed enough people.
            
            Some additional reading:
            
   URI      [1]: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10695985/#:~:text...
       
              kjkjadksj wrote 23 hours 52 min ago:
              Behavior follows costs. There is probably some stumbling block
              regarding millets. That being said, seed companies are very
              interested in land races, do not be mistaken. They are a good
              source of phenotypic variation and potential traits that might be
              favorable to introduce into the elite cultivars.
       
          maddmann wrote 1 day ago:
          Did you read the article? I think this case study shows why gm is
          likely to be key to avoiding mass starvation as climate change
          becomes a bigger issue.
       
            mothballed wrote 1 day ago:
            The government can't even make a dent into wars between farmers and
            livestock herders.
            
            Any political control or statement on GMOs are largely theater. 
            They have next to no means to prohibit it nor subsidize it.
       
       
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